Speaker
Description
Challenging European and Italian regulation aims at reaching carbon neutrality in Italy by 2050. A scenario totally fueled by renewable sources would be compliant with this target, with strong drawbacks from economical and system security point of views.
For this reason, through a proprietary model an optimized scenario has been drafted, starting from Italian PNIEC1 energy mix at 2030. Reintroducing nuclear technology2, with the first plant in 2030-35 and one plant per year, at 2050 a pipeline of 15-20 plants would cover the 10% of production. At 2050, ~20% of programmable capacity (nuclear and decarbonized gas) will guarantee economic and adequacy sustainability of the system.
This optimized mix guarantees significant investment reduction (more than 400B€3).
The introduction of new nuclear leads to positive impacts for the Italian system:
- Macroeconomic: 40+ B€ GDP increase, 36+ k AWU4 during construction and 3+ k AWU in operation
- Environmental: reduced LC emissions, land occupancy and water need
- Strategic: revitalization of national industrial cluster, valorization of carbon neutral Made in Italy and boost of high-technology export in Europe (benefit enabled by the hybridization of electric and thermal applications)
- Last version published in 2023, with import hp by Terna-Snam scenario (flat 50 TWh/y)
- New nuclear technologies: SMR (commercially available after 2030) and AMR (after 2040)
- Comparison vs 100% RES Scenario over the period 2030-2050, considering key cost items: electric storage, RES, grid and nuclear development
- AWU: annual working units
| Country OR International Organization | Italy |
|---|---|
| Email address | giada.caprioli@edison.it |
| Confirm that the work is original and has not been published anywhere else | YES |
